- December 28, 2018 at 10:30 pm #45306
Every week http://www.indianapoliscoltsteamonline.com/nate-hairston-jersey , I will present a summary of some basic and advanced stats for the Colts performance relative to the league. Thanks to Pro Football Reference, NFL.com and the nflSCrapR project for being awesome sources of weekly data.While the outcome was not good, I saw a lot that I Iiked in Sunday’s offensive performance.The Colts put up 34 points and a 73% DSR, both of which are respectable numbers. There were three, 3 & outs which is about normal for most teams but another 4 drives were killed by turnovers.When the offense managed to hold on to the ball,they were easily moving down the field.TEAM TOTALSOther than turnovers, there really aren’t any bad numbers here. The 2.6 points per drive ranks 13th this week while the 6.5 yards per play is similar to what the Patriots put up last week against the Colts defense. One of every three plays resulted in a first down.And on third downs, an average of 6 yards to go was the 8th best mark of any team this week.Given such short yardage on third down, I would like to see the conversion rate a bit higher but 42% is still good. PASSINGOther than interceptions, 2 of which are on the receivers, there isn’t any bad news here. Yards after catch was good and I like the average depth of target of 8.7 yards, which in my opinion is right about the sweet spot for this offense (given our receiving group).The completion rate was low, but the blame for that falls squarely on dropped passes.In an alternate reality, where those drops don’t occur, there are 6 more completions for 78 yards,2 fewer interceptions and 1 more TD.That is the difference between a passer rating of 77.8 or 124.1. It is the difference between an excellent ANY/A of 10.1 or a poor 5.7.It is the difference between a win and a loss. RUSHINGHoly crap Authentic Quincy Wilson Jersey , the run game was actually good. 30% of all carries resulted in a first down, although the Colts went 0 for 2 on third downs.Over half of all rushes were “successful” (first down, TD or chunk yardage) with 3 explosive runs greater than 10 yards.A weighted success rate of 45% is 4th best this week and by far the best mark the Colts have put up all season. CONCLUSIONSOutside of the turnovers, the offense was actually very good this week, but other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you like the play? While the last 3 weeks has seen 3 losses, I am far more encouraged by the Colts efforts than I was the first 3 weeks.The numbers are trending in the right direction and it is really just mental errors from keeping this offense from being good. SEASON TOTALS (per game) The Chicago Bears rolled into their bye with their most lopsided victory in six seasons and sole possession of the NFC North lead for the first time in five years.For a team long buried at the bottom of the division, it’s a different look. Just don’t tell coach Matt Nagy the Bears are the surprise of the NFL.”No, I’m not surprised,” he said.The Bears expected better things after a busy offseason that included a coaching change, an influx of playmaking targets for quarterback Mitchell Trubisky and the blockbuster trade with Oakland for Khalil Mack just before the start of the season.But sole possession of the division lead?That’s a spot the Bears (3-1) hadn’t occupied since late in the 2013 season, Marc Trestman’s first year coaching the team. Yet, they’re looking down at the rest of the division after four straight last-place finishes.”You go back to April 3 when we got together as a team,” said Nagy, a rookie head coach after working as an assistant under Andy Reid in Philadelphia and Kansas City. “We talked about who we wanted to be and what our goal was. And so what happens is when you start believing in that thing and then you start doing it in real games Womens Anthony Walker Jersey , you get tighter as friends. You get tighter as teammates. You get tighter as coaches. What we can do now is kind of reflect at 3-1 where we’re at. We understand it’s a super-long season.”The Bears have won three in a row since blowing a 20-point lead against an injured Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers in a season-opening loss at Lambeau Field. It’s their longest win streak since a 3-0 start in 2013.Their defense has dominated all season with Mack leading the way. And with the offense breaking out in a 48-10 romp over Tampa Bay last week, just about everything seems to be falling in place for the Bears.The bye comes a time when they have a few injury issues. Chicago lost backup linebacker Sam Acho for the rest of the season to a torn pectoral muscle. Cornerbacks Prince Amukamara and Marcus Cooper are recuperating from hamstring injuries. Defensive end Akiem Hicks opened himself up to a potential suspension when he got ejected for bumping an official last week.Those issues aside, the Bears are looking good at the moment.Trubisky had the sort of breakthrough game against Tampa Bay that Chicago had been waiting for since he was drafted with the No. 2 overall pick in 2017. The prized quarterback threw for a career-high six touchdowns — one shy of an NFL record shared by Bears Hall of Famer Sid Luckman and seven others — facing a short-handed secondary. Chicago also matched its most lopsided win since beating Jacksonville 41-3 on Oct. 7, 2012, and put up its highest point total since a 51-20 victory over Tennessee later that season.”That was the kind of a breakthrough that we were kind of hoping for and what we expect to do on offense,” Trubisky said.The question now for the Bears is this: Can they keep it going?Their three wins are against teams that missed the playoffs last season. The Bears also beat Seattle and Arizona.Chicago’s next game is at Miami — 3-1 heading into a matchup with Cincinnati despite being outscored 90-82 — before Tom Brady and the New England Patriots visit on Oct. 21.”We’re getting better every week and that’s what you want to see,” Mack said. “To see the guys in the back end making plays, that’s what you want to see. And being in a position to affect the quarterback to make them make those throws. It’s a good feeling, especially going into the bye.”The Bears rank fourth overall on defense, lead the NFL with 18 sacks and rank second with eight interceptions. Chicago and Tennessee are the only teams not to allow a rushing touchdown.Mack has been the havoc-wreaking force the Bears anticipated, helping turn a top-10 defense into one of the league’s best so far. He’s tied for second in the NFL with five sacks and is the first NFL player with a sack and forced fumble in four straight games since Robert Mathis for Indianapolis in 2005.He hasn’t been the only big contributor on defense. Hicks has three sacks and two forced fumbles. Danny Trevathan and Aaron Lynch each have a pair of sacks.But the Bears’ hopes still largely hinge on Trubisky.He’s 19th in the league with 945 yards passing, yet coming off a huge game that the Bears hope will be a turning point for him. Time will tell on that.For now, the Bears are rolling along in sole possession of the NFC North lead. And, that’s quite a change for a team used to looking up at everyone else.
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